Flavio Bolsonaro Edges Ahead of President Lula in Latest Brazil Runoff Polling
Senator Flavio Bolsonaro holds a narrow lead over President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva in the latest Quaest poll ahead of the October 25 Brazil runoff.
POLICY WIRE — Sao Paulo, Brazil — Senator Flavio Bolsonaro has moved into a narrow lead over President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva as the nation approaches the October 25 presidential runoff election.
According to a Quaest poll released on Monday, October 14, the Liberal Party candidate holds 42% support compared to 40% for the incumbent president, who is currently campaigning for reelection.
This survey marks the first instance during the current campaign cycle in which the senator has secured a numerical advantage over the president. The shift follows a series of polling data, including earlier findings from Datafolha, which also indicated a tight race between the two candidates.
The upcoming runoff was triggered after Flavio Bolsonaro outperformed Lula in the initial round of voting. As both campaigns prepare for the final stretch, recent data from firms such as Datafolha, AtlasIntel, and Vox have highlighted the competitive nature of the contest.
Previous polling from September 2 had shown a different landscape, with the president leading in a simulated runoff scenario. The current figures underscore the volatility of the electorate as the October 25 date nears.
Reporting by Policy-Wire (PW)




