ISW Report Shows Russia Reviving 2021 NATO Ultimatums and Launching New Drone‑Missile Strike on Ukraine Energy Grid

POLICY WIRE — Washington, D.C., United States — The Institute for the Study of War released its November 10, 2026 assessment of Russia’s offensive, highlighting a renewed push to impose 2021‑style ultimatums on Europe.

The briefing notes that Moscow is again demanding NATO curbs at the forthcoming peace negotiations scheduled in Abu Dhabi, echoing demands first articulated two years ago.

American officials have assembled a list of discussion points—including security guarantees for Kyiv and a reworked European security architecture—to guide the next round of talks involving the United States, Europe, Ukraine and Russia.

In parallel, Russian forces executed a coordinated drone and missile barrage against Ukraine’s energy infrastructure overnight on Nov. 2‑3, intended to raise civilian hardship as winter sets in.

Analysts at ISW interpret the strike as a tactic to pressure Kyiv into capitulation by increasing the economic and social costs of continued resistance.

The report also supplies an updated operational map and a series of key takeaways that outline Moscow’s strategic objectives through the remainder of 2026.

Reporting by Policy-Wire (PW)