Prediction Markets Favor Jack Lowden for Next James Bond Role
Jack Lowden leads prediction markets as top contender for next James Bond, with rising support for Jack Barton and uncertainty over deadline.
POLICY WIRE — London, United Kingdom — Prediction markets have identified Jack Lowden as the leading candidate to become the next James Bond, marking a potential return of a Scottish actor to the iconic role since Sir Sean Connery first portrayed the character in 1962.
According to two major prediction platforms, Kalshi and Polymarket, Lowden holds the highest probability of securing the role. Kalshi currently lists his chances at 52%, while Polymarket gives him a 35% chance. His closest competitor, Callum Turner, is at 24% on Kalshi and 10% on Polymarket, suggesting strong betting interest in Lowden’s prospects.
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New names are also gaining attention, including Jack Barton, who saw a 11% increase in fan support. Meanwhile, Jacob Elordi, once considered a front-runner, has fallen to just 1% on Polymarket. The market also suggests a 22% chance that Amazon MGM Studios will not announce the next Bond by year-end. Industry insiders, including Gary Oldman and casting director Debbie McWilliams, have weighed in on the selection process, emphasizing the need for mystery and intrigue in the next 007.
Reporting by Policy-Wire (PW)





